Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.161428 0.188784 0.218850 0.254275 0.294798 0.339629 0.392905
2025-11-30 0.121693 0.160263 0.207235 0.268286 0.345135 0.438223 0.559030
2025-12-07 0.091745 0.132381 0.185886 0.260720 0.361765 0.492423 0.672919
2025-12-14 0.071776 0.111940 0.168422 0.252382 0.372456 0.536140 0.773829
2025-12-21 0.058122 0.097156 0.155338 0.246556 0.383649 0.579151 0.875283
2025-12-28 0.050167 0.089177 0.150380 0.250887 0.408542 0.642184 1.008961
2026-01-04 0.044758 0.084143 0.148860 0.259647 0.440147 0.716860 1.165025
2026-01-11 0.039694 0.078722 0.145734 0.265019 0.466371 0.784884 1.315785
2026-01-18 0.034990 0.073076 0.141294 0.267336 0.487345 0.845775 1.459458
2026-01-25 0.030734 0.067501 0.136102 0.267466 0.504195 0.900765 1.597106
2026-02-01 0.026705 0.061656 0.129549 0.264184 0.514446 0.945118 1.719894
2026-02-08 0.023111 0.056060 0.122648 0.259279 0.520992 0.983190 1.834211
2026-02-15 0.019469 0.049785 0.113681 0.249593 0.518235 1.005626 1.924861
2026-02-22 0.018558 0.049481 0.116852 0.264242 0.562773 1.115786 2.178247
2026-03-01 0.015893 0.044584 0.109641 0.256849 0.563816 1.146662 2.291138
2026-03-08 0.013565 0.040037 0.102500 0.248628 0.562169 1.172011 2.395145
2026-03-15 0.011739 0.036400 0.096859 0.242881 0.564808 1.205371 2.515991
2026-03-22 0.010756 0.034815 0.095790 0.247154 0.588696 1.281590 2.723461
2026-03-29 0.010112 0.034053 0.096601 0.255797 0.622647 1.380010 2.980185
2026-04-05 0.009353 0.032810 0.096031 0.261097 0.649681 1.466220 3.218054
2026-04-12 0.008531 0.031207 0.094307 0.263384 0.670111 1.540142 3.435705
2026-04-19 0.007706 0.029423 0.091840 0.263511 0.685526 1.604459 3.637464
2026-04-26 0.006846 0.027332 0.088221 0.260273 0.692748 1.651754 3.806821